{"id":32593,"date":"2022-10-14T10:28:04","date_gmt":"2022-10-14T14:28:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/aky.pbv.mybluehost.me\/?p=32593"},"modified":"2023-10-11T15:13:48","modified_gmt":"2023-10-11T19:13:48","slug":"%d9%85%d8%a7-%d9%87%d9%88-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b1%d9%83%d9%88%d8%af","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aky.pbv.mybluehost.me\/ar\/%d9%85%d8%a7-%d9%87%d9%88-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b1%d9%83%d9%88%d8%af\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0645\u0627 \u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f\u061f \u0627\u0646\u0647\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0648\u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0641\u064a\ufffc"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>\u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0643\u0644\u0645\u0629 &#8220;\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f&#8221; \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u0645\u0627\u062a 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<strong>\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u062a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0645\u064a\u0639 <\/strong>&#8211; \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0635\u062d\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0627\u062c\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0628\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0644\u0643. \u0648\u0645\u0639 \u0630\u0644\u0643\u060c \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0633\u064a\u0626\u0629\u060c \u0641\u0647\u064a <strong>\u062c\u0632\u0621 \u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642\u060c \u0648\u0628\u062f\u0648\u0646\u0647\u0627\u060c \u0644\u0627 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\u062a\u0644\u0648\u062d \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0641\u0642 \u0644\u062d\u0645\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u062d\u0641\u0638\u062a\u0643 \u0648\u062a\u0637\u0648\u064a\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<div class=\"earn2-ads_pt1_desktop\" id=\"earn2-2911677028\"><div id=\"earn2-1957195610\" style=\"margin-left: auto;margin-right: auto;text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.earn2trade.com\/trader-career-path?a_pid=E2TLLC&#038;chan=code330&#038;utm_source=Affiliate_track&#038;utm_medium=Top_Banner&#038;utm_campaign=Affiliate_blog&#038;utm_id=TCP_English\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"910x300_earn2trade_ad\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/aky.pbv.mybluehost.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/910x300-Dark-II_EN.png\" alt=\"910x300_earn2trade_ad\"  srcset=\"https:\/\/aky.pbv.mybluehost.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/910x300-Dark-II_EN.png 910w, https:\/\/aky.pbv.mybluehost.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/910x300-Dark-II_EN-300x99.png 300w, https:\/\/aky.pbv.mybluehost.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/910x300-Dark-II_EN-150x49.png 150w, https:\/\/aky.pbv.mybluehost.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/910x300-Dark-II_EN-768x253.png 768w, https:\/\/aky.pbv.mybluehost.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/910x300-Dark-II_EN-770x254.png 770w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 910px) 100vw, 910px\" class=\"no-lazyload\" width=\"910\" height=\"300\"  style=\"display: inline-block;\" \/><\/a><\/div><\/div><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-\u0645\u0627-\u0647\u0648-\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f\"><strong><strong>\u0645\u0627 \u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f\u061f<\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u0645\u0644\u062d\u0648\u0638 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0634\u0627\u0637 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\u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 2\u066a\u060c \u0644\u0643\u0646 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0643\u0645\u0627\u0634 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0634\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0629 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u064a\u0635\u0644 \u0625\u0644\u0649 5\u066a.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0644\u064a\u0633\u062a \u0634\u0627\u0626\u0639\u0629 \u062c\u062f\u064b\u0627.<\/strong> \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0638\u0645\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u0626\u062f\u0629\u060c \u062a\u062d\u062f\u062b \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0645\u0631\u0629 \u0643\u0644 \u0639\u0642\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631. \u064a\u0639\u0631\u0641 \u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631 \u0641\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0644\u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0645\u0646 25 \u0639\u0627\u0645\u064b\u0627.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u0642\u062f \u062a\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0641\u064a \u0623\u064a \u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u0646 \u0628\u0636\u0639\u0629 \u0623\u0634\u0647\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0639\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0646<\/strong> \u060c \u0628\u0646\u0627\u0621\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0635\u0644\u0647\u0627 \u0648\u0634\u062f\u062a\u0647\u0627. \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0633\u0628\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644\u060c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/terms\/r\/recession.asp\"> \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631 \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0646\u0630 \u0639\u0627\u0645 1857 \u0644\u0645\u062f\u0629 17 \u0634\u0647\u0631\u064b\u0627<\/a>. \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631\u062a \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0633\u062a \u0645\u0646\u0630 \u0639\u0627\u0645 1980 \u0623\u0642\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0639\u0634\u0631\u0629 \u0623\u0634\u0647\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637.<strong>\u062a\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062d\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0637\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f.<\/strong> \u0642\u062f \u062a\u0634\u0645\u0644 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u062a\u062e\u0641\u064a\u0636\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0627\u0626\u062f\u0629 \u0644\u0636\u0645\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0644 \u0648\u062f\u0639\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0641\u064a\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0645\u064a\u060c \u0648\u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u0630\u0644\u0643.<\/p>\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed-youtube wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"lyte-wrapper\" title=\"\u0645\u0627 \u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f\u061f \u0627\u0646\u0647\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0648\u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0641\u064a\" style=\"width:853px;max-width:100%;margin:5px auto;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_7Z6ZmXdiq5A\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/7Z6ZmXdiq5A\/hqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/7Z6ZmXdiq5A\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT14M3S\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2022-10-14T17:46:53Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_7Z6ZmXdiq5A\" data-src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/7Z6ZmXdiq5A\/hqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">\u0645\u0627 \u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f\u061f \u0627\u0646\u0647\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0648\u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0641\u064a<\/div><\/div><div class=\"play\"><\/div><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/7Z6ZmXdiq5A\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/7Z6ZmXdiq5A\/0.jpg\" alt=\"\u0645\u0627 \u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f\u061f \u0627\u0646\u0647\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0648\u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0641\u064a\" width=\"853\" height=\"460\" \/><br \/>Watch this video on YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"\u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0643\u0644\u0645\u0629 &quot;\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f&quot; \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 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\ud83d\ude00\ud83d\udcaa Instagram: https:\/\/instagram.com\/earn2trade_ar Facebook: https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/Earn2TradeArabic\/ Twitter: www.twitter.com\/earn2trade_ar\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:853px;margin:5px auto;\"><\/div><figcaption><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f-\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644-\u0627\u0644\u0643\u0633\u0627\u062f\"><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0633\u0627\u062f<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0643\u0633\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u062e\u0627\u0635 \u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0639\u0645\u064a\u0642 \u0648\u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644<\/strong>. \u0628\u064a\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f 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<strong>\u062a\u0628\u062f\u0623 \u0643\u0644 \u0648\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0639\u0645\u0644\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0634\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0648\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0642\u0644\u060c \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u062a\u0643\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u064a\u0634\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u062f\u064a.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u0647\u0646\u0627\u0643 \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0642\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f<\/strong>. \u0639\u0627\u062f\u0629\u060c <strong>\u0639\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f\u060c \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 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\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0627 \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0647\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0642\u0627\u0621 \u0646\u0638\u0631\u0629 \u0634\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a<\/strong> \u0648\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0642\u0628\u0629 \u0643\u0644 \u0634\u064a\u0621 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0644\u0627\u0643\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0646\u0627\u0639\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062f\u062e\u0644. \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0641\u0639\u0644\u0647 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nber.org\/research\/business-cycle-dating\">&nbsp;\u0644\u062c\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0639\u062f\u0629 \u0644\u062f\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644<\/a> \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0643\u062a\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0637\u0646\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0628\u062d\u0648\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 (NBER)\u060c \u0648\u0647\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0633\u0645\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0646\u0630 \u0639\u0627\u0645 1978.<strong>\u064a\u0639\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0646\u062d\u0646\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0626\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0644\u0648\u0628 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 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\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0646\u062f\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0643\u062a\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0637\u0646\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0628\u062d\u0648\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 (NBER)\u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u064a\u064b\u0627 \u0644\u064a\u0633 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f. \u062a\u0634\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0638\u0645 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/cea\/written-materials\/2022\/07\/21\/how-do-economists-determine-whether-the-economy-is-in-a-recession\/\">&nbsp;\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0641\u064a NBER<\/a> \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647 \u0625\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u064a\u060c \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0623\u0646 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\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u064a (LEI)<\/a>\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0646\u0634\u0631\u062a\u0647 \u0645\u0646\u0638\u0645\u0629 \u0643\u0648\u0646\u0641\u0631\u0646\u0633 \u0628\u0648\u0631\u062f\u060c \u0645\u0646 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0628. \u0648\u0642\u062f \u062a\u0623\u062a\u064a \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0623\u064a\u0636\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0634\u064a\u0648\u0639\u064b\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0648\u0648\u0644 \u0633\u062a\u0631\u064a\u062a\u060c \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0645\u0646\u062d\u0646\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0626\u062f\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0623\u0635\u0628\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0622\u0646<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2022-07-27\/widely-watched-yield-curve-at-most-inverted-in-decades-after-fed#xj4y7vzkg\"> \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0627\u0646\u0639\u0643\u0627\u0633\u0627\u064b \u0645\u0646\u0630 \u0639\u062f\u0629 \u0639\u0642\u0648\u062f<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0643\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0623\u062a\u064a \u0625\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062a\u0636\u0627\u0631\u0628\u0629 \u0645\u0645\u0627\u062b\u0644\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062d\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0641\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062f\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0636\u0639\u064a\u0641\u064b\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u064a\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u064a\u0633\u062c\u0644 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a \u062c\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0629. \u0639\u0627\u062f\u064b\u0629 \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0638\u0647\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0639\u0641 \u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0623\u0634\u0647\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u0628\u062f\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f\u060c \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0642\u062f \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0648\u0634\u064a\u0643\u064b\u0627.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0641\u064a \u0646\u0647\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0637\u0627\u0641\u060c <strong>\u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u0631\u0641\u0629 \u0645\u0627 \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0646\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0623\u0645 \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0634\u062e\u0627\u0635 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\u0631\u0633\u0645\u064a \u0639\u0646 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0639\u0627\u062f\u064b\u0629 \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0648\u0642\u062a \u0644\u0627\u062d\u0642.<\/strong> \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0633\u0628\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644\u060c \u0627\u0633\u062a\u063a\u0631\u0642\u062a \u0644\u062c\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0643\u062a\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0628\u062d\u0627\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0627\u0645\u064b\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064b\u0627 \u0644\u0644\u0625\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0646 \u0639\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0632\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0647\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f. \u0648\u0644\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0630\u0643\u0631 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0644\u062d\u0638\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0628\u062f\u0623 \u0641\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0633\u0645\u0627\u0639 \u0625\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0646 \u0633\u0644\u0637\u0627\u062a \u0631\u0635\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0639\u0646 \u0623\u0646\u0646\u0627 \u0646\u0645\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f\u060c \u0641\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0644 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0642\u062f \u0645\u0636\u0649 \u0646\u0635\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0639\u0644\u060c \u0623\u0648 \u0631\u0628\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0632\u0645\u0629 \u0642\u062f \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0647\u062a.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-\u0623\u0628\u0631\u0632-\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a-\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f-\u0641\u064a-\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e\"><strong><strong>\u0623\u0628\u0631\u0632 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e<\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0628\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 1960-2007\u060c \u062d\u062f\u062f\u062a \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624<a href=\"https:\/\/www.imf.org\/external\/pubs\/ft\/fandd\/2009\/03\/pdf\/basics.pdf\"> 122 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0641\u064a 21 \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u062a\u0642\u062f\u0645\u064b\u0627<\/a>\u060c \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0623\u0646 \u0647\u0646\u0627\u0643 \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0643\u0627\u0641\u064d \u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644\u0647\u0627. \u0641\u0645\u0646\u0630 \u0639\u0627\u0645 1857\u060c \u0634\u0647\u062f\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u062d\u062f\u0647\u0627<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nber.org\/research\/data\/us-business-cycle-expansions-and-contractions\"> 34 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f<\/a>. \u0648\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0648\u062d\u062a \u0645\u062f\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0627 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0634\u0647\u0631\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0645\u0633 \u0633\u0646\u0648\u0627\u062a. \u0648\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631\u062a \u0644\u0645\u062f\u0629 17 \u0634\u0647\u0631\u064b\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0648\u062a\u0631\u0633\u0645 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0623\u064a\u0636\u064b\u0627 \u0646\u0645\u0637\u064b\u0627 \u0631\u0627\u0626\u0639\u064b\u0627 &#8211; \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0623\u0646\u0647 <strong>\u0628\u0645\u0631\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0642\u062a\u060c \u0623\u0635\u0628\u062d\u062a \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0623\u0642\u0635\u0631 \u0648\u0623\u0642\u0644 \u062a\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0631\u064b\u0627<\/strong>. \u0648\u0648\u0641\u0642\u0627\u064b<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nber.org\/research\/business-cycle-dating\"> \u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0643\u062a\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0628\u062d\u0627\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629<\/a>\u060c \u0641\u0642\u062f \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631\u062a \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 1945-2009 \u0644\u0645\u062f\u0629 11 \u0634\u0647\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637. \u0648\u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644\u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0639\u0627\u0645 1854 \u0648\u062d\u062a\u0649 1919 \u0628\u0644\u063a 21.6 \u0634\u0647\u0631\u064b\u0627.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u062a\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062d\u062f\u0627\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0642\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0629 \u0623\u0647\u0645 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0627 \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0646\u0627 \u0646\u0628\u062d\u062b \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0646\u0639\u0632\u0644\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0628\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629. \u0641\u064a\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0644\u064a \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u062b\u0644\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f\u064b\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u062c\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0641\u0647\u0645 \u0623\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0642\u062f \u062a\u062d\u062f\u062b\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062d\u062f\u0627\u062b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0645\u064a\u0629:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f-\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a-\u0641\u064a-\u0639\u0627\u0645-1873-\u0627\u0644\u0643\u0633\u0627\u062f-\u0627\u0644\u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644\"><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 1873 (<em>&#8220;\u0627\u0644\u0643\u0633\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644&#8221;<\/em>)<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631\u062a \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0632\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0645\u062f\u0629 23 \u0639\u0627\u0645\u064b\u0627\u060c \u0648\u0644\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0623\u0637\u0644\u0642 \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0633\u0645 <em>&#8220;\u0627\u0644\u0643\u0633\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644.&#8221; <\/em>\u0648\u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639\u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0628\u0639\u0636<a href=\"https:\/\/iea.org.uk\/blog\/lessons-from-the-%E2%80%98long-depression%E2%80%99\"> \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644\u0627\u062a<\/a> \u062a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0633\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631 <em>&#8220;\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0635\u0644\u064a&#8221;<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0648\u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0628\u062f\u0623 \u0628\u0627\u0646\u0647\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0648\u0631\u0635\u0629 \u0641\u064a\u064a\u0646\u0651\u0627\u060c \u0648\u0623\u0639\u0642\u0628\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0646\u0647\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0648\u0643 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0646. \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0623\u0634\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0642\u0628 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0645\u0644\u0643\u0629 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href=\"https:\/\/iea.org.uk\/blog\/lessons-from-the-%E2%80%98long-depression%E2%80%99\"> \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0628\u0631\u0627\u0621<\/a> \u064a\u0631\u062c\u0639\u0648\u0646 \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0628\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0626\u064a\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0647\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0631\u064a\u0639 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0635\u0646\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629. \u0648\u0641\u064a \u062d\u064a\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0642\u062f \u064a\u0628\u062f\u0648 \u063a\u0631\u064a\u0628\u064b\u0627 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0644\u0643\u060c \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639\u060c \u0625\u0644\u0627 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u064a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 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\u062d\u0627\u062f \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0641\u0637 (\u062a\u0636\u0627\u0639\u0641\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0623\u0631\u0628\u0639 \u0645\u0631\u0627\u062a)\u060c \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639 \u0644\u0644\u063a\u0627\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u0623\u062f\u0649 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u062d\u0648\u0627\u0644\u064a 16 \u0634\u0647\u0631\u064b\u0627 \u0648\u0623\u062f\u0649 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 4.7\u066a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0648 2.5\u066a \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627 \u0648 7\u066a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0627\u0628\u0627\u0646.<strong>&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0632\u0645\u0629-\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629-\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629-\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f-\u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631-2007-2009\"><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0632\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 (\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631) \u2013 2007 &#8211; 2009<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0628\u062f\u0623 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2007 \u0648\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631 \u0631\u0633\u0645\u064a\u064b\u0627 \u062d\u062a\u0649 \u0639\u0627\u0645 2009\u060c \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u063a\u0645 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0647 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u062d\u0633\u0648\u0633\u064b\u0627 \u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0623\u0637\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645. \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639\u060c \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0642\u0631\u0628 \u0645\u0646 \u0636\u0639\u0641 \u0637\u0648\u0644 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u064a\u0631\u0629.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0647\u0648 \u0639\u062f\u0645 \u062a\u0648\u0627\u0632\u0646 \u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0626\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0642\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0628\u062a\u062c\u0645\u064a\u0639 \u0643\u0645\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0647\u0627\u0626\u0644\u0629 \u0645\u0646<a href=\"https:\/\/blog.earn2trade.com\/michael-burry\/\"> \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0647\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0642\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631<\/a>. \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0647\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0648\u0643 \u0648\u0634\u0631\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0632\u0627\u062f\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0636\u0639 \u0633\u0648\u0621\u064b\u0627.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0648\u0623\u062b\u0651\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645 \u0628\u0623\u0643\u0645\u0644\u0647\u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u062a\u0631\u0627\u062c\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0642\u0631\u0628 \u0645\u0646 4%. \u0648\u0641\u0642\u064b\u0627 \u0644\u0635\u0646\u062f\u0648\u0642<a href=\"https:\/\/www.imf.org\/-\/media\/Files\/Publications\/WP\/2019\/WPIEA2019083.ashx\"> \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644\u064a<\/a>\u060c \u0634\u0647\u062f 91 \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064b\u0627 \u064a\u0645\u062b\u0644\u0648\u0646 \u062b\u0644\u062b\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a \u0627\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636\u064b\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u0647\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2009. \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0623\u062f\u0649 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0647\u0627\u0626\u0644\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u0627\u0626\u0641\u060c \u0648\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645\u060c \u0648\u062a\u062e\u0644\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u062f\u0627\u062f\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u062b\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0629.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u064a\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0632\u0645\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u0645 &#8220;\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631&#8221; \u0648\u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0627\u0646\u0647\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0628\u0639\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0633\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u062b\u0644\u0627\u062b\u064a\u0646\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0634\u0631\u064a\u0646.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f-\u062c\u0627\u0626\u062d\u0629-\u0643\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0646\u0627-2020\"><strong>\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u062c\u0627\u0626\u062d\u0629 \u0643\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0646\u0627 2020<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0626\u062d\u0629 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0623\u062e\u0631 \u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0631\u0633\u0645\u064a \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0633\u062c\u064a\u0644\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u062f\u0629. \u0648\u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0623\u064a\u0636\u064b\u0627 \u0623\u0642\u0635\u0631 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e\u060c \u0628\u062f\u0623\u062a \u0645\u0646 \u0641\u0628\u0631\u0627\u064a\u0631 2020 \u0648\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631\u062a \u0644\u0634\u0647\u0631\u064a\u0646 \u0641\u0642\u0637.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0648\u0647\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0623\u062b\u0627\u0631\u062a \u0627\u0647\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0644\u0623\u0646\u0647\u060c \u0648\u0641\u0642\u064b\u0627<a href=\"https:\/\/www.chicagobooth.edu\/review\/how-covid-19-recession-has-differed-great-recession\"> \u0644\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b\u064a\u0646<\/a> \u060c \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629 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\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0637\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0623\u0633\u0648\u0623 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u064a\u0627\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0646\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631. \u0648\u0634\u0647\u062f\u062a \u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0625\u064a\u0637\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0627 \u0627\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636\u064b\u0627 \u0641\u064a<a href=\"https:\/\/publications.banque-france.fr\/en\/worldwide-gdp-decline-2020-relative-impact-health-restrictions-responsiveness-public-and-private\"> \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0648\u0635\u0644\u062a \u0625\u0644\u0649 8.9\u066a \u0648 9.3\u066a<\/a>. \u0648\u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0635\u0644\u0629\u060c \u062a\u0631\u0627\u062c\u0639<a href=\"https:\/\/www.statista.com\/topics\/6139\/covid-19-impact-on-the-global-economy\/#dossierContents__outerWrapper\"> \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a<\/a> \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 3.4\u066a \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2020\u060c \u0641\u064a \u062d\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0644\u063a \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0637\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a 6.57\u066a.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-\u0627\u0644\u062e\u0644\u0627\u0635\u0629\"><strong><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062e\u0644\u0627\u0635\u0629<\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u063a\u0645 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u0643\u0644\u0645\u0629 <em>&#8220;\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f&#8221;<\/em> \u063a\u0627\u0644\u0628\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0627 \u062a\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u062e\u0627\u0648\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0633\u0633\u0627\u062a\u064a\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u062d\u062a\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u062f\u064a\u060c <strong>\u0625\u0644\u0627 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0643\u0645\u0627\u0634 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0647\u0648 \u062c\u0632\u0621 \u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u062f\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642<\/strong>. \u0642\u062f \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631 \u0623\u0634\u0628\u0647 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0645\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0646 \u062f\u0648\u0646 \u0623\u0646 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