{"id":24552,"date":"2023-09-12T03:55:59","date_gmt":"2023-09-12T07:55:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/aky.pbv.mybluehost.me\/the-super-bowl-indicator\/"},"modified":"2023-10-09T03:46:42","modified_gmt":"2023-10-09T07:46:42","slug":"l-indicateur-du-super-bowl","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aky.pbv.mybluehost.me\/fr\/l-indicateur-du-super-bowl\/","title":{"rendered":"Indicateur du Super Bowl : les victoires de l’AFC et de la NFC comme indices de march\u00e9"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Le Super Bowl est le plus grand \u00e9v\u00e9nement sportif de l’ann\u00e9e, mais saviez-vous qu’il est aussi un excellent indicateur de march\u00e9 ? Il existe un sch\u00e9ma simple mais curieux, connu sous le nom d’indicateur du Super Bowl. <\/p>\n\n

L’indicateur du Super Bowl est une th\u00e9orie selon laquelle l’orientation du march\u00e9 boursier pour l’ann\u00e9e suivante peut \u00eatre pr\u00e9dite en fonction du vainqueur du Super Bowl. Selon ce concept, si une \u00e9quipe de la National Football Conference (NFC) remporte le troph\u00e9e du Super Bowl, le march\u00e9 boursier sera haussier cette ann\u00e9e-l\u00e0. En revanche, si c’est une \u00e9quipe de l\u2019American Football Conference (AFC) qui l’emporte, le march\u00e9 boursier conna\u00eetra une ann\u00e9e baissi\u00e8re. <\/p>\n\n

Cet article examine le concept et analyse sa pr\u00e9cision en d\u00e9tail. <\/p>\n\n

\"910x300_earn2trade_ad\"<\/a><\/div><\/div>

Qui a invent\u00e9 l\u2019indicateur du Super Bowl ?<\/h2>\n\n

Leonard Koppett, journaliste sportif au New York Times, a mis au point l’indicateur du Super Bowl en 1978. \u00c0 l’\u00e9poque, l’indicateur avait fait preuve d’un niveau de pr\u00e9cision constant. Son analyse reposait sur la classification des \u00e9quipes en fonction des ligues d’origine du football plut\u00f4t que des “conferences” qu’elles repr\u00e9sentaient lors de leur championnat.<\/p>\n\n

Quelle est la pr\u00e9cision de l\u2019indicateur du Super Bowl ?<\/h2>\n\n

Depuis le d\u00e9but du Super Bowl, l’indicateur s’est av\u00e9r\u00e9 exact environ 41 ann\u00e9es sur 54<\/a>. Cela signifie que la pr\u00e9diction a \u00e9t\u00e9 correcte environ 74 % du temps. <\/p>\n\n

\"Rendements
Source : groupe consultatif CXO<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n

<\/p>\n\n

\"Rendements
Source : groupe consultatif CXO<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n

<\/p>\n\n

Entre 1967 et 2015, l’indicateur du Super Bowl n’a \u00e9t\u00e9 inexact que neuf fois<\/a>. Selon les calculs de LPL Financial, l’indice S&P a enregistr\u00e9 une hausse moyenne de 10,2 %<\/a> les ann\u00e9es o\u00f9 une \u00e9quipe NFC a gagn\u00e9, tandis qu’il a enregistr\u00e9 un rendement de 5,8 % lorsqu\u2019une \u00e9quipe AFC l’a emport\u00e9. L’indice de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence a \u00e9galement enregistr\u00e9 un rendement positif de 79 % les ann\u00e9es de victoire de l’\u00e9quipe NFC, contre 63 % les ann\u00e9es de victoire de l’\u00e9quipe AFC. <\/p>\n\n

Ann\u00e9e<\/strong><\/td>Gagnant<\/strong><\/td>Ligue<\/strong><\/td>Conference<\/strong><\/td>Rendement du cours du S&P 500<\/strong><\/td>Pr\u00e9diction<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
2022<\/td>Rams de Los Angeles<\/td>NFL<\/td>NFC<\/td>-19.44%<\/td>Mauvaise<\/td><\/tr>
2021<\/td>Buccaneers de Tampa Bay<\/td>NFL<\/td>NFC<\/td>14.51%<\/td>Correcte<\/td><\/tr>
2020<\/td>Chiefs de Kansas City<\/td>AFL<\/td>AFC<\/td>15.76%<\/td>Mauvaise<\/td><\/tr>
2019<\/td>Patriots de la Nouvelle-Angleterre<\/td>AFL<\/td>AFC<\/td>30.43%<\/td>Mauvaise<\/td><\/tr>
2018<\/td>Eagles de Philadelphie<\/td>NFL<\/td>NFC<\/td>\u22126,24 %<\/td>Mauvaise<\/td><\/tr>
2017<\/td>Patriots de la Nouvelle-Angleterre<\/td>AFL<\/td>AFC<\/td>21.83%<\/td>Mauvaise<\/td><\/tr>
2016<\/td>Broncos de Denver <\/td>AFL<\/td>AFC<\/td>11.96%<\/td>Mauvaise<\/td><\/tr>
2015<\/td>Patriots de la Nouvelle-Angleterre <\/td>AFL<\/td>AFC<\/td>\u22120,73 %<\/td>Correcte<\/td><\/tr>
2014<\/td>Seahawks de Seattle <\/td>\u00c9quipe d’expansion<\/td>NFC<\/td>13.69%<\/td>Correcte<\/td><\/tr>
2013<\/td>Ravens de Baltimore <\/td>\u00c9quipe d’expansion<\/td>AFC<\/td>32.39%<\/td>Mauvaise<\/td><\/tr>
2012<\/td>Giants de New York <\/td>NFL<\/td>NFC<\/td>16.00%<\/td>Correcte<\/td><\/tr>
2011<\/td>Packers de Green Bay<\/td>NFL<\/td>NFC<\/td>\u22121,12 %<\/td>Mauvaise <\/td><\/tr>
2010 <\/td>Saints de La Nouvelle-Orl\u00e9ans<\/td>NFL<\/td>NFC<\/td>15.06%<\/td>Correcte <\/td><\/tr>
2009<\/td>Steelers de Pittsburgh <\/td>NFL<\/td>AFC<\/td>26.46%<\/td>Correcte<\/td><\/tr>
2008<\/td>Giants de New York <\/td>NFL<\/td>NFC<\/td>\u221237 %<\/td>Mauvaise <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>
R\u00e9sultats du S&P 500 pendant les Super Bowls pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents 2008-2022. Source : Investopedia<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n

<\/p>\n\n

Devrais-je prendre des d\u00e9cisions d\u2019investissement en fonction de l\u2019indicateur du Super Bowl ?<\/h2>\n\n

Il n’est pas recommand\u00e9 de prendre des d\u00e9cisions d’investissement en fonction de l’indicateur du Super Bowl. Ce concept est davantage une th\u00e9orie divertissante et amusante dans le domaine des articles de sports qu’une strat\u00e9gie de trading \u00e9tablie. <\/p>\n\n

Il n’y a aucun lien entre les performances du march\u00e9 boursier am\u00e9ricain et la ligue d’une \u00e9quipe de football. Toute corr\u00e9lation entre les deux devrait \u00eatre consid\u00e9r\u00e9e comme une pure co\u00efncidence et, comme pour la plupart des choses dans la vie, la corr\u00e9lation n’est pas synonyme de cause. Il n’est donc pas judicieux de prendre une d\u00e9cision d’investissement sur la base de cet indicateur. <\/p>\n\n

Vous ne devriez utiliser que des strat\u00e9gies d’investissement fond\u00e9es sur des preuves et des recherches approfondies lorsque vous prenez une d\u00e9cision d’investissement. <\/p>\n\n

Vous pourriez aussi appr\u00e9cier : <\/strong>Le swing trading \u2013 sa d\u00e9finition et ses strat\u00e9gies<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n

Point cl\u00e9 : l\u2019indicateur du Super Bowl n\u2019est pas un indicateur ind\u00e9pendant fiable<\/h2>\n\n

L\u2019indicateur du Super Bowl est un concept amusant qui relie le r\u00e9sultat du Super Bowl \u00e0 la performance du march\u00e9 boursier. Cependant, il n’existe pas de relation pr\u00e9cise entre le r\u00e9sultat du match et le march\u00e9 boursier. <\/p>\n\n

Il est pr\u00e9f\u00e9rable de faire preuve de prudence lorsque l’on prend une d\u00e9cision d’investissement en utilisant cet indicateur et de ne s’appuyer que sur des strat\u00e9gies d’investissement fond\u00e9es sur des donn\u00e9es probantes. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Le Super Bowl est le plus grand \u00e9v\u00e9nement sportif de l’ann\u00e9e, mais saviez-vous qu’il est aussi un excellent indicateur de march\u00e9 ? Il existe un sch\u00e9ma simple mais curieux, connu sous le nom d’indicateur du Super Bowl. L’indicateur du Super Bowl est une th\u00e9orie selon laquelle l’orientation du march\u00e9 boursier pour l’ann\u00e9e suivante peut \u00eatre […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":24554,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[12387],"tags":[12383,12457],"class_list":["post-24552","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-anecdotes","tag-sp-500-fr","tag-super-bowl-fr"],"yoast_head":"\nIndicateur du Super Bowl : les victoires de l'AFC et de la NFC comme indices de march\u00e9<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"D\u00e9couvrez le lien entre le Super Bowl et le march\u00e9 boursier. 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